Real problems: how to vaccinate more people, globally, quickly; how to get through especially the next few months with more transmissible variants and seasonality still working against us. Not problems: this will never end. As of yet, there is no scientific reason to think that.
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I know, why should you trust me? I can't prove that to anyone either, but all I can say is: I've written plenty of grim warnings and articles when they were warranted (warning about the pandemic Jan/Feb 2020, warning about variants in December) analytically, I'm not an optimist.
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I'm just observing that the doom part has gotten.. a bit out of hand. Yes, the next few months are really tough. Yes we will get hit with the variants (though vaccinations plus measures will blunt this; it's a race). But, honestly, I see no reason to think this will never end.
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Yes. Non-specialists trying to interpret neutralizing antibody titer measurements etc. and concluding the pandemic will never end. Also media reporting such results in *headlines* "six-fold drop!" and needlessly panicking people. https://twitter.com/_opservator_/status/1357694236326572040 …
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I'm really, really not saying there's anything wrong with following the fascinating flow of papers, threads, information that's out there. Just don't talk yourself into long-term doom for no reason. Short-term, yeah tough. But no basis for the "no end" panic that's taking hold.
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I'm constantly hearing from people who are so despondent that "this will never end" that they are thinking of stopping all measures now ("might as well live, if there's no end"). We need to be MORE strict for a bit more exactly because THERE IS AND END.https://twitter.com/wanderer_jasnah/status/1357697251561381893 …
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End of conversation
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Perhaps "non-scientists/non-MD/non-Epi" would be better wording?
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Related (sharing for your fillers who haven’t seen this):https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1357695384005472263 …
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Great reflections on how media and social media ended up boosting social fatalism and mass panic.
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