People do very poorly with probability. Maybe 10% do it at all.
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Thanks for the burn. I’ll do some research and look for the real number.
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Still looking for where I got 10% from. So far only finding general articles like this one.https://www.cogencyteam.com/news/2018/02/why-are-humans-bad-at-calculating-risk/ …
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Consensus is humans are generally bad at probabilistic reasoning but I can’t find an estimate of how many aren’t bad. https://ose.utsc.utoronto.ca/ose/story.php?id=8531%C2%A7id=1 …
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