Me too. This is a very compelling argument that if implemented could save many lives. https://twitter.com/RMedzhitov/status/1355546700685963264 …
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I think it will lead to
#VaccineHesitancy if people can't be sure, upon being offered first shot, that a timely second shot will be there for them. I for one would rather wait till they're sure of the second shot. Or until a one-shot vaccine is available.#CovidVaccineThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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1/2 Did some work on this. In essence - gain in protection by those getting jab 1 outweighs that lost by those losing out on jab 2 but if clinical illness means dying at usual age-specific rates, the death rates overpower the protection gains at about 21 yrs age difference.
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2/2 Protection against severe disease and death is higher than protection against clinical disease - hard to quantify given so few severe cases, but we know it’s so much higher that the apparent reversal based on clinical illness won’t occur for severe illness.
End of conversation
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