What is the relevance of viral load in #COVID19 disease severity? A very talented @YaleMSTP student @SilvaJ_C found that saliva viral load to be a better predictor of disease than nasopharyngeal viral load. Here is a thread to explain the findings. (1/n)https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.04.21249236v1 …
I don't know of any reason to assume that transmissibility increase estimates translate linearly distance guidelines and I'd really recommend against doing such calculations.
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What calculations do you recommend as Universities set up their saliva-based testing sites based on old (pre-B117) assumptions?
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If you want to stay away from numbers and approximations, another way to say this is that the ‘holes’ of the swiss cheese model of prevention are potentially a lot larger.
End of conversation
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transmissibility estimate of 7.6x, increase in social distancing should 6x7.6 = 45ft, especially maskless. [I’m not including duration of exposure or ventilation properties of the rooms as possible mitigation variables.]