Ugh. One year anniversary of my tweet in response to news of the Wuhan lockdown. *lolsob*https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1220061891613073409 …
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Anyway, that was a terrible way to teach how exponentials work. Let's not do this again.
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FWIW, that was my first tweet about the coronavirus. I had started adjusting plans for a possible crisis around January 7th, but when they shut down Wuhan, I knew it. With (more competent) authoritarians the rule is, look at what they do, not what the say.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1220060968299966464 …
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To be fair, Taiwan is more attuned to Chinese propaganda than the rest of the world. So it understood rather faster than the rest of us what was going on.
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Of course, but also Hong Kong and many other countries with experience with SARS and more realism about China knew what was (very likely up) pretty much the first week or so of January. China had also covered up SARS...
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