There are competing sociological theories/studies about what happens "When Prophecy Fails"—not a tiny number of people were expecting Trump to declare martial law and arrest the "globalist" cabal, like, today. Adjust, double-down, rationalize, declare we were undeserving?
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Hey, representing from 3rd floor Davie Hall here, doing my part to hold Hamilton Hall at bay. And for you pilfering economists out there, Dan Kahneman identifies as a psychologist and frames his work with Tversky as social cognitive psychology, so back off!
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Reductio ad absurdum?
End of conversation
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Okay but if you read the Erikson critique of the methods it raises a very interesting question about how many of the people in the room were actually committed and the impact of their showing up on the group.
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I don't know of this... Was thinking of rereading that literature (in my spare time) in light of this past year, and would love to know the citation!
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*checks around to see if there's an economist to one up the steal*