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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      Heard about the new variant? That it appears to be much more transmissible but not more lethal? That's true but no relief. Transmissibility is an *exponential* risk and thus a huge threat. We need aggressive public health action now—especially vaccination. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …pic.twitter.com/I13Y9zlMJX

      67 replies 988 retweets 2,430 likes
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    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      As I write, new variant is still a respiratory virus, so the basic tools will not change, and they will all continue to work. But they may need to be more strict to work as well as before. With vaccines around the corner, every infection we avoid or delay matters *a great deal*.

      6 replies 50 retweets 357 likes
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    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      I have the quote of the year here, from @dylanhmorris "Exponentials are so cruel that nobody wants to look them in the eye." Lack of more severe disease from this variant is, of course, good but it doesn't undo the exponential (thus enormous) threat from more transmissibility.

      11 replies 142 retweets 642 likes
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    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Jan 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Meaghan Kall

      More data is in suggesting yes, yes, the new variant is more transmissible. It makes everything higher-stakes and the slow vaccine roll-out even a bigger problem. We have to speed up! People can also up their personal precautions. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …https://twitter.com/kallmemeg/status/1347555411940028417 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Meaghan Kall @kallmemeg
      Finally, Test and Trace data (CTAS) on attack rate adds evidence that the UK variant is more transmissible: - 15% of contacts of variant become infected vs 11% of the wild-type virus - An est. 30-50% higher attack rate ergo more infectious (all age groups, all regions) pic.twitter.com/wn1O4uYB9E
      Show this thread
      9 replies 35 retweets 99 likes
      Show this thread
    5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Jan 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Dr. Tom Frieden

      Friends, the tweet below is from the former director of the CDC (during the Obama administration). I know there is a lot of fear-mongering on social and traditional media which makes it hard to tell the crucial from the sensational, but this is real.https://twitter.com/DrTomFrieden/status/1347632920526278659 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Dr. Tom FriedenVerified account @DrTomFrieden
      Exponential increases in the pandemic with variant virus strains in UK, Ireland. I've never seen an epidemic curve like this, and the curve is with lockdown. If the variant becomes common the US, it's close to a worst-case scenario, with a baseline of full hospitals.
      Show this thread
      13 replies 166 retweets 252 likes
      Show this thread
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 10 Jan 2021

      I want to re-up my piece from the last day of 2020. The evidence is now overwhelming this variant is more transmissible, and that means we need to be *more* strict in everything we do and that the speed of vaccine rollout is *even more* important. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …pic.twitter.com/fqdyWY1XNl

      9:02 AM - 10 Jan 2021
      • 62 Retweets
      • 173 Likes
      • W. A. F. F. L. E. S. abrar🇧🇩 Maximum Vaxxed Mary Anna R Nico Vallone Tony Thibaudeau Pravduh be the knife of kindness Will W. 😷
      5 replies 62 retweets 173 likes
        1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 10 Jan 2021

          Since I wrote this, the incoming Biden administration has said that they *will* stop reserving half the dose for the booster and release it all. Which is good but not enough if the existing supply is sitting on shelves! We have to roll it all out, ASAP. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …pic.twitter.com/GKa9n3Befy

          7 replies 14 retweets 76 likes
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        1. Frank Galton‏ @FrankGalton 10 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Including ensuring that "lockdown" actually involves 2m/ 6f social distancing.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. life neurotic with steve's issues‏ @fartleksburpees 10 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          i know changes to spike protein apparently make it more likely to attach to ACE2 receptor, but does this variant increase viral load? and does any of this change fomite risk? and does this mean it has a lower minimum infectious dose, and that non n95 masks are now less effective?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. alex‏ @fax_blast 10 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Bars and indoor dining need to be shut down across the country. Businesses and employees need more support to be able to stay home.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. David Keating‏ @DavidLKeating 10 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Upgrade your #mask. But few people know the fastest cheapest way -- a mask fitter. New preprint says "conditional indoor infection probabilities as low as <0.01% per hour might be reached with the use of surgical masks and mask fitters alone" like @FixTheMask.

          1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
        3. David Keating‏ @DavidLKeating 10 Jan 2021
          Replying to @DavidLKeating @zeynep @FixTheMask

          David Keating Retweeted David Keating

          This thread has preprint link and summary:https://twitter.com/DavidLKeating/status/1346855545693761539?s=20 …

          David Keating added,

          David Keating @DavidLKeating
          1/ Must read new preprint: Strategies to minimize #SARSCoV2 #COVIDisAirborne transmission -- combined impacts of ventilation and mask effective filtration efficiency. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.31.20249101v1 … Extensive set up of manikins and analysis of indoor classroom.
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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