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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      Heard about the new variant? That it appears to be much more transmissible but not more lethal? That's true but no relief. Transmissibility is an *exponential* risk and thus a huge threat. We need aggressive public health action now—especially vaccination. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …pic.twitter.com/I13Y9zlMJX

      67 replies 988 retweets 2,430 likes
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    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      As I write, new variant is still a respiratory virus, so the basic tools will not change, and they will all continue to work. But they may need to be more strict to work as well as before. With vaccines around the corner, every infection we avoid or delay matters *a great deal*.

      6 replies 50 retweets 357 likes
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    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      I have the quote of the year here, from @dylanhmorris "Exponentials are so cruel that nobody wants to look them in the eye." Lack of more severe disease from this variant is, of course, good but it doesn't undo the exponential (thus enormous) threat from more transmissibility.

      11 replies 142 retweets 642 likes
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    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      Do note this excellent graphic by @mugecevik and co-authors. Anyone exposed/infected on Christmas will be around peak infectiousness—without necessarily symptoms—today. Something to keep in mind if planning to get together with others for New Year’s Eve. https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1329817594115846145 …pic.twitter.com/X0Xn46YfDD

      4 replies 142 retweets 197 likes
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    5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 31 Dec 2020

      It's a struggle to find analogies to make exponential processes feel intuitive. I came up with a clumsy tsunami example. Fact-checker says this doesn't really make sense. I said I know! The perfect example is.. epidemics! And the reverse: vaccination!pic.twitter.com/ELSAecBuHl

      20 replies 14 retweets 80 likes
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      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 5 Jan 2021

      We're going to regret our blunders this month—especially with this inexcusably slow vaccine roll-out—the way we regretted not acting decisively in February and March of 2020. So many sad, retrospective papers calculating excess deaths await publication.https://www.timesunion.com/news/article/New-York-s-mass-vaccination-plans-are-shelved-as-15824607.php …

      7:06 AM - 5 Jan 2021
      • 76 Retweets
      • 242 Likes
      • Oliver Cash Paul Garlow 😷 🕯🍎 Gail Nevin Dmayoraru Pete Kleinschmidt ZeevDor-V. g *Vax, Mask & Test* This teacher is tired Bruno Peaudecerf 💉
      8 replies 76 retweets 242 likes
        1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Jan 2021

          zeynep tufekci Retweeted Adam Kucharski

          😢😢😢https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1348742487846875138 …

          zeynep tufekci added,

          Adam KucharskiVerified account @AdamJKucharski
          Visualisation of below thread, showing why countries need to take a more transmissible variant *very* seriously. (From: https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/how-dangerous-are-new-covid-19-strains …) https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1343567425107881986 … pic.twitter.com/AM787lAhb6
          3 replies 27 retweets 75 likes
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        1. Matt Gerlach‏ @Matt_Gerlach 5 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Agreed. And what makes it even worse are the people that will say “those Numbers are fake”

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Doreen‏ @ddeshopper 5 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Unfortunately our "blunder" dates back to November 2016. Hard to fix the blunder at this point. We have to wait until 1/20/2021 @ noon for a president to take National action. In the meantime, there is no one captaining our ship and we are lost adrift at sea in turbulent waters

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Max Rosenblum‏ @we11smart 5 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          I would be interested to see the mathematical odds that we would have handled this pandemic as badly as we have.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Brent  🌐‏ @EconBrent 5 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Dec 11 was when the EUA was granted for Pfizer's covid vaccine. The long-term care facility my wife works at isn't scheduled to get their vaccines until Monday, 11 Jan, a full month since the EUA. Weren't the L-T facilities supposed to be top of the list?!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. maybe: Paul‏ @pablomoses 5 Jan 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Worse than that, aren't we potentially jeopardizing immunity given the potential for the UK-strain to explode the infection rate and increase the likelihood of resistant mutations?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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