An excellent thread on epistemology
What do we know and how do we know it?
A narrow view of what we know, what is data can lead us into mental traps
This is not about delayed vs immediate vaccine doses
This is about what do we mean when we say, follow the science. H/T @zeynephttps://twitter.com/robertwiblin/status/1345800480144945152 …
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Replying to @ashishkjha
And thank you for being out there with reasoned discussion on this obviously thorny, complex topic. It's much easier to stay quiet or to advocate for what appears bureaucratically safe rather than dive into discussions of trade-off in the face of uncertainty and a dire situation.
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Replying to @zeynep @ashishkjha
We've all been diving into these trade-offs, even if we think a shift from a regimen with documented, robust efficacy to one with less certain effects is unwise. Juxtaposing it as "reasoned discussion" vs "bureaucratic safety" is your own value judgment coming into play here.
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Replying to @gregggonsalves @ashishkjha
There *has* been a lot of bureaucratic safetyism—not just talking about the vaccine debate—but obviously that doesn't mean everyone I disagree with is doing that. (Moreover, in this case I don't even have the basis to defend strong opinion on either side).
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Replying to @zeynep @ashishkjha
OK, sorry I misread the response in this case.
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Replying to @gregggonsalves @ashishkjha
No problem. It's pretty clear that there are reasoned arguments for and against any schedule changes, though it may well be that it doesn't matter anyway because we are so slow. But important to watch what happens in UK, which should give us more information.
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Replying to @zeynep @ashishkjha
Agree, but it's a little bit of a natural experiment on the British people, which makes me more than a bit squeamish particularly after UK doctors association even objected.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted
But many British doctors/scientists support the decision as well & I can't just assume JCVI are idiots. It's not an easy decision because this is what they're facing. They have no "safe" path. I don't claim to have an answer myself. Hope they collect data. https://twitter.com/AlexWhite1812/status/1345861724843474945 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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