This is the reason sports nerds gravitated towards this stuff.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1346102887269736449 …
Do you have an example? I see a lot of stats, not discussions of mechanisms or causal analysis. (How do they even do it? What's the theory of the soccer goal?)
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The soccer goal is actually the best example because there aren’t enough of them to model outputs w/out theory to test against. So models of expected goals are heavily reliant on what we think should impact likelihoods of shots becoming goals prior to analyzing outputs.
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Anything to read?
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