An excellent thread on epistemology
What do we know and how do we know it?
A narrow view of what we know, what is data can lead us into mental traps
This is not about delayed vs immediate vaccine doses
This is about what do we mean when we say, follow the science. H/T @zeynephttps://twitter.com/robertwiblin/status/1345800480144945152 …
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At the risk of sounding like Marcia when Desi Arnaz, Jr. dropped by - seeing the two of you on this is a real bright spot.pic.twitter.com/8ixCCT6jXY
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I also really liked this thread on how phase III trials provide crucial information but don't answer all the population-level questions—especially when facing a dire situation. Whatever we do, I hope it's done while collecting data so we can adjust ASAP.https://twitter.com/IDEpiPhD/status/1345176257995165696 …
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I'm concerned the intense focus on vaccine distribution questions may distract from item #2 on this list, which according to
@IHME_UW models and evidence from Europe would save orders of magnitude more lives than even a more rapidly-deployed vaccine could.https://twitter.com/urbandata/status/1346120879672012802 …
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We've all been diving into these trade-offs, even if we think a shift from a regimen with documented, robust efficacy to one with less certain effects is unwise. Juxtaposing it as "reasoned discussion" vs "bureaucratic safety" is your own value judgment coming into play here.
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There *has* been a lot of bureaucratic safetyism—not just talking about the vaccine debate—but obviously that doesn't mean everyone I disagree with is doing that. (Moreover, in this case I don't even have the basis to defend strong opinion on either side).
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