I'd like to highlight a point about epistemology. Many people—scientists and journalists—with infectious disease experience immediately pegged this as the next potential SARS. It had all the hallmarks. Nothing was certain, but it wasn't that we had "no data." We always have data.https://twitter.com/DimaBabilie/status/1345861726370205696 …
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Robert Wiblin
Here's a good thread about the "no data" fallacy. (You don't have to agree with it's conclusions—point is the epistemology). A bureaucratic "no data" doesn't equal scientific "no data". Imperfect, incomplete, uncertain yes. "No data" is almost never true.https://twitter.com/robertwiblin/status/1345800480144945152 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Robert Wiblin @robertwiblinA serious reasoning error that is particularly common among educated people is to argue that if a study hasn't been done on a particular question we have 'no data', and therefore no basis on which to form beliefs or act. This is incorrect and dangerous. 1/Show this thread5 replies 41 retweets 202 likesShow this thread -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Dr Seán DOOLAN 🐇 🤗 💙 🍃 💚 ☘️
Policy (and thus public health) will necessarily involve working with imperfect, incomplete data, and (sometimes terrible) trade-offs. Mike Ryan of WHO had it right. "If you need to be right before you move, you will never win." Hence all these debates.https://twitter.com/i/status/1346073730510954498 …
zeynep tufekci added,
0:45Dr Seán DOOLAN 🐇 🤗 💙 🍃 💚 ☘️ @SDinPraxisAs Mike Ryan of WHO said in March, drawing from decades of experience in emergency response medicine and disease outbreaks Have to move FAST to stay ahead Economy is BASED on health, cannot be health for some, economy for others https://twitter.com/Jeremy_Hunt/status/1346065152085532672 … pic.twitter.com/aZEZ0sKl9l2 replies 35 retweets 161 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @zeynep
And then the WHO spent the next six odd months insisting that perfect data was needed to shift from the anti-mask position they'd taken on the basis of sweet bugger all :/
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Having very much dealt with those committees that refused to budge for so long, not only did they insist on perfect data, they outright dismissed and actively ignored any data that did not fit their priors. So it was worse than that, to be honest.
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