I'd like to highlight a point about epistemology. Many people—scientists and journalists—with infectious disease experience immediately pegged this as the next potential SARS. It had all the hallmarks. Nothing was certain, but it wasn't that we had "no data." We always have data.https://twitter.com/DimaBabilie/status/1345861726370205696 …
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Yep. The BBC story then just repeats the Chinese official lie that there had "been no human-to-human transmission" whereas anyone familiar with these viruses, the region & the Chinese government patterns knew this to be likely false and acted accordingly.https://twitter.com/coreyspowell/status/1346107331847860230 …
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Also, on the vaccine debate, this is an excellent thread. (No, it won't give you an answer but explains why we are where we are, differences between individual results & population-level questions and makes a strong case for adapting fast as we go along).https://twitter.com/IDEpiPhD/status/1345176257995165696 …
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I do think it's important to recognize, however, that hardly anyone is actually saying "we have no idea if one dose works." The principal concerns are second-order effects where we (arguably) also have reasons to say it's problematic: escape variants
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You are wrong.
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I wish we used the existing knowledge and expertise with regards to respiratory pathogens and masks and mass immunity. Why did the WHO rewrite their own texts on the subjects to be reductive and (some could say) partisan?
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There is a lot of truth & wisdom embedded in institutions. That's not "bureaucratic truth" -- there's a reason, e.g., we do eligibility & safety the way we do. Avoids a lot of post-hoc significance hacking. Throwing that out as "bureaucratic" is counterproductive.
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