There is an interesting implicit judgement here about frequentist vs Bayesian. Do you tell people the base rate (most vaccines are effective against transmission, so this one likely is), or presume a null of no transmission benefits until proven?https://twitter.com/hankgreen/status/1341165997294637056 …
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Replying to @arpitrage
Implied, philosophical frequentism and blank-slateism has been the bane of our pandemic response—everything from the guidance to the communication. Half-mulling writing a book just on that.
8 replies 3 retweets 65 likes -
Replying to @Sports2STEM @arpitrage
Thank you. It’s the ghost that’s haunting everything that we don’t talk about.
11:08 AM - 22 Dec 2020
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