Important caveat from @DhruvKhullar: "we know for sure that the vaccines...prevent severe illness in almost all people who are inoculated...we’re not yet certain that the vaccines can prevent people from becoming infected or infecting others."https://www.newyorker.com/science/medical-dispatch/how-getting-vaccinated-will-and-wont-change-my-behavior …
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The socioeconomic context of the marshmallow test responses is a relevant analogy. That said, the utility of the analogy fades as time passes. Not that reasonable to compare “waiting 15 minutes for the second marshmallow” with “waiting nine months-plus to see Mom again.”
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I think it's more is there a history of broken promises? were you promised a marshmallow that never materialized? Did someone else break the rules and steal the marshmallow or eat them all? or decide that the stock market was more important than whether your pantry was full?
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Who is calling for gloom? Many scientists have acclaimed this as one of the greatest achievements in human history, including myself on local news. See
@EricTopol feed yesterday. Scientists sticking to the data rather than endorsing PH guidance based on speculation isn't gloom. -
It's really a totally unfair accusation to level at people who have worked very hard to use the best data available to combat this pandemic. You have consistently displayed an urge to get ahead of the data and I'm sorry scientists won't endorse that, but there's a reason not to.
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So glad you’re bringing this to light . What the rest measures is not willpower but the expectation that grownups are reliable & beneficent. Neither of which can be applied to our gov’t at least since “saint” Reagan.
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I don't think it is quite accurate to say that the Marshmallow effects disappeared when controlled for various factors: https://medicalxpress.com/news/2019-12-reanalysis-famous-marshmallow.html … But yes, surely true that the effect is interconnected with society / the person who offers the Marshmallow.
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The marshmallow test as applied in 2020 America: We were told to wait 15 mins. for a second marshmallow. We said yes. After the 15 mins., we were told, sorry, another 30 mins. We waited. Then they said "sorry, wait longer" again. (1/2)
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(2/2) Then we waited a little longer, but we were starting to get restless. Then we saw them chowing down on extra marshmallows, and giving them to their friends who were trying to burn down the school. Then we figured out their promises were worthless, and ate the marshmallow.
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