Important caveat from @DhruvKhullar: "we know for sure that the vaccines...prevent severe illness in almost all people who are inoculated...we’re not yet certain that the vaccines can prevent people from becoming infected or infecting others."https://www.newyorker.com/science/medical-dispatch/how-getting-vaccinated-will-and-wont-change-my-behavior …
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If this is a reference to the immunity issue, it's different. With respiratory viruses there's actually very little if any precedent for vaccines reliably preventing infection. We may be in new territory which would be great! But makes extrapolating from past experience dangerous
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This is not an area where I think it's helpful for scientists to give their best guess, because our knowledge here is very very thin.
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