I'm pretty convinced that some public school will never catch up, so the damage is not just from this year of gap. Some of the wealthier parents who pulled their kids to private school or small/individual tutoring will never come back, so even "back to school" won't be same.
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Replying to @zeynep @antoniogm
There's a wealthy public district in Marin where they've lost 10% of their enrollment to private schools/homeschooling. The parents have the money to continue on this way & a lot of them are angry/disillusioned by the public school system & likely won't be back.
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And from what I've heard, the private school waitlists in the area are all a mile long....
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Replying to @transcended @antoniogm
Yeah. My area (which has excellent public schools) lost almost 20% at the kindergarten level. I think we may well have much less excellent public schools next year; some of those parents—those with resources, not just money―aren't coming back.
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Those are the very families who have time and educational capital. They read to their kids, tutor them etc. and those kids then help pull the average up in the public school (research: disadvantaged among advantaged is better for kids for learning). If they leave, things change.
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