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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Trevor Bedford‏Verified account @trvrb 3 Dec 2020

      Trevor Bedford Retweeted Trevor Bedford

      The US is reporting over 2000 deaths per day from Dec 1 and I believe will do so consistently throughout December based on daily case loads above 120k starting early November. 1/4https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1326404894954283008 …

      Trevor Bedford added,

      Trevor BedfordVerified account @trvrb
      I expect the US to be reporting over 2000 deaths per day in 3 weeks time. Importantly, this doesn't assume any further increases in circulation and is essentially "baked into" currently reported cases and represents conditions that take time to resolve and to be reported. 8/8
      Show this thread
      14 replies 167 retweets 401 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Trevor Bedford‏Verified account @trvrb 3 Dec 2020

      A drop in reporting over Thanksgiving weekend has made for some difficulty in directly comparing 7-day averaged deaths, but the trend is clear. Red bars are daily reported deaths from @COVID19Tracking and black line is 7-day sliding average. 2/4pic.twitter.com/hrKi4bwyjT

      2 replies 14 retweets 78 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Trevor Bedford‏Verified account @trvrb 3 Dec 2020

      The simple projection of 1.7% of reported cases into deaths 22 days later has remained largely accurate, although drop of reporting during Thanksgiving weekend is quite clear. We'll know soon whether 7-day average returns back to projection. 3/4pic.twitter.com/u3MGqvzbOV

      6 replies 39 retweets 137 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Trevor Bedford‏Verified account @trvrb 3 Dec 2020

      Trevor Bedford Retweeted The COVID Tracking Project

      Today's 210k cases is a new record. If trend continues as it has, it's likely that ~3500 of these individuals will succumb to their disease and these deaths reported later in the month. 4/4https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1334661580064239616 …

      Trevor Bedford added,

      4 bar charts showing key COVID-19 metrics for the US over time. Today, states reported 1.8M tests, 210k cases (record), 100,667 currently hospitalized (record), and 2,706 deaths.
      The COVID Tracking ProjectVerified account @COVID19Tracking
      Our daily update is published. States reported 1.8 million tests, 210k cases, and 2,706 deaths. There are 101k people currently hospitalized with COVID-19 in the US. Both case and hospitalization counts from today are all-time highs. pic.twitter.com/DuxnKyyG2K
      Show this thread
      16 replies 77 retweets 165 likes
      Show this thread
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 3 Dec 2020
      Replying to @trvrb

      This is so tragic. On the one hand clinical treatment has improved. On the other hand hospital capacity is under stress and there are indications of informal triage in admission criteria, resulting in both comparatively sicker hospital population and more people at risk at home.

      7:08 PM - 3 Dec 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 45 Likes
      • Michele Seib Autarkh Pieter Peach Charles Vaske سارا LoriUKBay Aishwarya Nagarajan Nicklas Roman Fabio
      2 replies 3 retweets 45 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Peter Walker‏ @PeterJ_Walker 3 Dec 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @trvrb

          Not too informal in many places, unfortunately https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/oklahoma-hospitals-tighten-admission-criteria-amid-influx-of-covid-19-patients.html …

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Jeremy Chrysler‏ @jeremychrysler 3 Dec 2020
          Replying to @PeterJ_Walker @zeynep @trvrb

          It’s definitely getting harder to get admitted, which makes the continuous growth in hospitalizations more concerning. They are the clearest signal though the holiday and slightly slacker growth may be about pressure to discharge folks who are less critical to make space.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Frank‏ @realMrFrank 3 Dec 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @trvrb

          Why did we waste the money developing and producing mAbs if they’re not going to have any effect?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Trevor Bedford‏Verified account @trvrb 3 Dec 2020
          Replying to @realMrFrank @zeynep

          I'm really quite hopeful about the monoclonals, but I'd hesitate to speculate on impact on overall CFR. Going forwards, I'll be watching carefully for whether CFR drops (due to mAbs) or climbs (due to overburdened health systems).

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. Show replies

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