So it’s now: okay the polls were off but we will weight the polls better next time. Next time!!! The undercount weren’t “shy” or necessarily suffering from social desirability. Some of them think of the pollsters as the cultural enemy. Good luck modeling that void with weights.
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I don’t understand the resistance to acknowledging that the many theories of poll/forecast failure are fine and plausible but few of them give us a way to confirm the theory fix the problem. So what you say is plausible, among other factors. But what then?
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I don't actually see it as a huge problem for anyone other than campaign operatives. The public doesn't really need to know the winner of an election in advance. Coverage should focus on substance.
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Curious how this lines up w the CRVA preclearance provisions SCOTUS took away bc the South is no longer racist.
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