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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Nov 2020

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Joe Weisenthal

      Shrunk to razor thin margin in Congress (history says likely to lose in 2022), maaaybe Senate (tough) but after that map says little chance for a long time, lost almost all big redistricting battles for next decade. Incumbent not conceding, his triumphant party backs him. So yep.https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1326534494971699200 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart
      Democrats won the The White House, the Congress, and have a shot of flipping the Senate. Disastrous night. https://twitter.com/guypbenson/status/1326533823853719552 …
      16 replies 59 retweets 464 likes
      Show this thread
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Nov 2020

      Also, noting the distortions of the electoral college/winner-takes-all model is fine but also please notice that if just about *0.2 percent* of the voters in a few states had voted differently, Trump would have won re-election. Now even fewer chances to fix those distortions.

      7:46 AM - 11 Nov 2020
      • 12 Retweets
      • 200 Likes
      • Gail Nevin MOA Elif Hasi Berk 🏳️‍🌈 Ata Mert Binicioğulları / Sarah Rose Gene Morrow Albert
      8 replies 12 retweets 200 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Nov 2020

          zeynep tufekci Retweeted Michael Love

          Fine. This was answer to people saying why are Dems concerned? If they can read reality, they should be very concerned. Look at the House—the Dem margin may be a few as ~six. Look at the state legislators—real loss, which feeds gerrymandering. Courts, too.https://twitter.com/elkmovie/status/1326549975006806020 …

          zeynep tufekci added,

          Michael Love @elkmovie
          Replying to @zeynep
          Still a lot better than if Trump had won.
          13 replies 22 retweets 182 likes
          Show this thread
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Nov 2020

          zeynep tufekci Retweeted

          Of course, not. I just don't find self-soothing or magical thinking to be a good basis for optimism. https://twitter.com/nijusar/status/1326558612886614016 …

          zeynep tufekci added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          10 replies 7 retweets 180 likes
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        4. End of conversation
        1. Jay Pinho‏ @jaypinho 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          Agree with all of the above, with one potential magic trick: if the Dems somehow pull off 2 GA wins, they can immediately add DC and PR as states.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Mark Y. Rosenberg‏ @myrosenbrg 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          Yep: the bottom line is that the social and institutional trends which got the U.S. here are likely/sadly here to stay. Echoed in @geoquant polisci + compsci data system: https://mailchi.mp/geoquant.com/em-ification-of-us-politics … https://mailchi.mp/geoquant.com/us-stressed-institutions-will-hold-through-turbulent-transition …

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        2. Chris Thorpe-Tracey‏Verified account @christt 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          It’s a fair point but don’t forget it was less of a margin than that, gave DJT’s mob four years in the first place. Aren’t the current shape of Dems (especially after this DJT tantrum) far more likely to at least *try* to address+fix structural stuff than a 2017 HRC White House?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @christt

          With what tool are they doing this fixing?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. scoobydoo22b‏ @scoobydoo22b 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          distortions of the electoral college = gerrymandering => 🔥

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Robert Aterman‏ @robert_aterman 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          Looks like Biden won 57 Electoral votes from AZ, GA, PA, WI with about 100,000 votes. Very similar to what Trump did last time in MI, PA, WI. 2024 may well be the same, so there is a 50% chance of Ted Cruz or Cotton or maybe even Trump being the next President.

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        1. New conversation
        2. The Keystone Take‏ @KeystoneTake 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          Arguably same exact position W Bush was in 2000. Similar to Trump in 2016. Won elections with close margins in several states and lost Senate/House seats.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. The Keystone Take‏ @KeystoneTake 11 Nov 2020
          Replying to @KeystoneTake @zeynep

          Ultimately I'd be as worried if I were Republicans and I increased my # of voters by 7M and still got killled in the popular vote. Granted House and Senate maps look OK though. Feels a little like Clinton's 2nd term win

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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