I'm not sure this is evidence that election polling/modeling is bad. If the models correctly caused people to believe Biden would win, and conditional on Biden winning they wanted a GOP Senate, then the models helped them vote for the outcome they valued, right?https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1325869104578908162 …
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It's inconvenient for people who wanted a Biden presidency and a Dem senate, but it seems like their problem is that *voters were motivated to make sure they didn't get that*, not that voters correctly believed that Biden was likely to win since the models projected it.
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Replying to @KelseyTuoc
The point is that they have an *impact*--that they are players in the process which they are forecasting.
10:43 AM - 9 Nov 2020
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