I'm sympathetic to the case, made by @zeynep and others, that forecasting has less value when the polls regularly produce big misses.
But some forecasters, like the Nates, have avoided triumphalism and been upfront about the limitations of their models.
Others, not so much... https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1324507561308114947 …
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my feeling is that the reporter - pundit axis has lost the power to set the narrative ebb of campaigns in the way they used to. Obviously replacing one form of astrology with another that has the veneer of mathematical precision may not be a good trade off
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