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Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org
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You know he tried to ban you, right?pic.twitter.com/eQPWQWCubO
These results for tiny subgroups (<1%) should not be reported or commented on. The exit polls are statistical malpractice at the moment.
HHH_Report Retweeted HHH_Report
AP's exit poll seems to have tried very hard to ensure its reliability, judging by the methodology note. Also this specific result aligns with pre-election research by totally different organisationshttps://twitter.com/HHH_Report/status/1324404066953342977 …
HHH_Report added,
It's still a tiny subgroup (always much less reliable) and prelim results are still prelim.
Sure, but remember the n = 100k. Also, Muslim orgs. reporting 20-30% approval for Trump before the election adds credibility to AP's number. Not to mention the actual vote results across the country- notable swings in several Latino and Native American areas.
Show me the weights on both those polls, and maybe we can talk. It's just not stuff to rest any commentary on right now.
The Institute for Social Policy and Understanding survey of Muslim Americans that I linked, which found 30% approval of Trump, is *not* an exit poll. It was an earlier study. I find no obvious problems with ithttps://www.ispu.org/american-muslim-poll-2020-amid-pandemic-and-protest/ …
I would do all this, too, if I were polling but this is.. something. And this is how it goes these days. Plus, show us the response rate, weights and the reasoning behind them. I think we need them for every poll before we rely on them.pic.twitter.com/HbV3GduFsF
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