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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Imraan Siddiqi‏Verified account @imraansiddiqi 5 Nov 2020

      You know he tried to ban you, right?pic.twitter.com/eQPWQWCubO

      83 replies 147 retweets 891 likes
      Show this thread
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      These results for tiny subgroups (<1%) should not be reported or commented on. The exit polls are statistical malpractice at the moment.

      7 replies 9 retweets 261 likes
    3. HHH_Report‏ @HHH_Report 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @zeynep @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      HHH_Report Retweeted HHH_Report

      AP's exit poll seems to have tried very hard to ensure its reliability, judging by the methodology note. Also this specific result aligns with pre-election research by totally different organisationshttps://twitter.com/HHH_Report/status/1324404066953342977 …

      HHH_Report added,

      HHH_Report @HHH_Report
      Replying to @dariustahir @titonka @pw_cunningham
      From a totally different poll, one focused on Muslim Americans: "among Muslims, approval of President Trump’s job performance has increased from 13% in 2018 and 16% in 2019 to 30% in 2020" https://www.ispu.org/american-muslim-poll-2020-amid-pandemic-and-protest/ …
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @HHH_Report @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      It's still a tiny subgroup (always much less reliable) and prelim results are still prelim.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. HHH_Report‏ @HHH_Report 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @zeynep @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      Sure, but remember the n = 100k. Also, Muslim orgs. reporting 20-30% approval for Trump before the election adds credibility to AP's number. Not to mention the actual vote results across the country- notable swings in several Latino and Native American areas.

      2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
    6. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @HHH_Report @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      Show me the weights on both those polls, and maybe we can talk. It's just not stuff to rest any commentary on right now.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. HHH_Report‏ @HHH_Report 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @zeynep @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      The Institute for Social Policy and Understanding survey of Muslim Americans that I linked, which found 30% approval of Trump, is *not* an exit poll. It was an earlier study. I find no obvious problems with ithttps://www.ispu.org/american-muslim-poll-2020-amid-pandemic-and-protest/ …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 5 Nov 2020
      Replying to @HHH_Report @imraansiddiqi @eldahshan

      I would do all this, too, if I were polling but this is.. something. And this is how it goes these days. Plus, show us the response rate, weights and the reasoning behind them. I think we need them for every poll before we rely on them.pic.twitter.com/HbV3GduFsF

      10:14 AM - 5 Nov 2020
      • 3 Likes
      • Discover Distracted Moose Mohamed El Dahshan
      0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes

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