In the end, polling averages will probably "call" the winners of all but 1-3 states correctly, along with the winner of the popular vote, which should wind up at Biden +4/+5. That's not great. It's better to look at *margins* and some of the margins were off.
-
Show this thread
-
But some of the perceptions were formulated because people were taking results in states like PA at face value (Wow, Biden's losing by 15 points!) when there weren't any mail votes reported. In the final accounting, the polls will have done mediocrely, but not terribly.
589 replies 161 retweets 3,682 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @NateSilver538
Yep, never let terrible be the enemy of mediocre.
5 replies 3 retweets 157 likes -
That's not 3 out of 50, but 3 out of at most 10, because anyone can "predict" the results of about 40 states. That's already mediocre - including the margins does make it pretty terrible, actually.
1 reply 0 retweets 23 likes
OK, ok, let’s not let catastrophically and systematically wrong be the enemy of terrible?
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.