She always seems to get it right. @zeynep. Again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/opinion/election-forecasts-modeling-flaws.html?searchResultPosition=1 …
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Amen.
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Right. As someone who has never even taken Stats 101, I was thinking the same thing. How do you validate a probabilistic model? Like, Nate Silver claims that he was right on the money since his 2016 model gave Trump 29 percent, which was better than other models, but...?
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Here on, Zeynep, I’m going to consult you on all controversial matters to know the right answer!
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Lol, but I did NOT know the right answer. I really didn't! I have so many question now. I just knew that I was uncertain, that's all.
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Honestly at some point after everything that’s happened this year you’d think people would have SOME appreciation for the massive uncertainties in modelling?!
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I know right? Do you know how many times I got lectured on how I don't understand probabilities because of that piece.
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I’m going to boycott election prediction for the next 3 years.
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I wonder whether it will ever be possible to know the degree of
@Facebook manipulation that took place and the effects it had.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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