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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Eric Topol‏Verified account @EricTopol 4 Nov 2020

      She always seems to get it right. @zeynep. Again. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/opinion/election-forecasts-modeling-flaws.html?searchResultPosition=1 …

      6 replies 28 retweets 148 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 4 Nov 2020
      Replying to @EricTopol

      Thank you. I hope that going forward, we just learn not to pay so much attention to forecasts, and just accept that we are unable to poll well for elections, and we can't properly model events that are as rare as presidential elections. No way to really validate such a model.

      8:23 AM - 4 Nov 2020
      • 9 Retweets
      • 150 Likes
      • John Q Public Amer Zeidan, MBBS, MHS Gail Nevin Madhuja Samaddar || Jai Shriram || Justice for Palghar Sadhus. Tom Yemm Yvonne Leow Rachel Cary Loughman
      9 replies 9 retweets 150 likes
        1. SusanNedzaMD‏ @nedza_md 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @EricTopol

          Amen.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Jonas Persson‏ @BishopBlougram 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @EricTopol

          Right. As someone who has never even taken Stats 101, I was thinking the same thing. How do you validate a probabilistic model? Like, Nate Silver claims that he was right on the money since his 2016 model gave Trump 29 percent, which was better than other models, but...?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Eric Topol‏Verified account @EricTopol 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          Here on, Zeynep, I’m going to consult you on all controversial matters to know the right answer!

          1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @EricTopol

          Lol, but I did NOT know the right answer. I really didn't! I have so many question now. I just knew that I was uncertain, that's all.

          2 replies 1 retweet 16 likes
        4. Show replies
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        2. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @EricTopol

          Honestly at some point after everything that’s happened this year you’d think people would have SOME appreciation for the massive uncertainties in modelling?!

          2 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @apsmunro @EricTopol

          I know right? Do you know how many times I got lectured on how I don't understand probabilities because of that piece.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Wolfgang‏ @wolfgang_xl 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @EricTopol

          I’m going to boycott election prediction for the next 3 years.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Steven Meinrath‏ @SMeinrath 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @EricTopol

          I wonder whether it will ever be possible to know the degree of @Facebook manipulation that took place and the effects it had.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. NatIrvinII‏ @NatIrvinII 4 Nov 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @EricTopol

          👏🏿👏🏿👏🏿👏🏿

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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