The Atlantic's slack channel on twitter! Great thread building off of a piece on probabilities in 2020 from @DKThomp and @JSEllenberg with the always thoughtful @zeynep giving some pushback. https://twitter.com/DKThomp/status/1323276131261448193 …
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Agreed. I still think that there's room for more discussion about what quantification misses, e.g. covid risk as only death rates....
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I think that’s a part math people have not considered as much, because they understand what these probabilities represent as a model, but not necessarily thought as much about their political role.