Nice piece by @zeynep about uncertainty in election forecasts: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/opinion/election-forecasts-modeling-flaws.html … -- IMO the issue is that publishers of these forecasts haven't done any user studies to understand what people actually DO with them and how they affect social dynamics:https://www.cjr.org/tow_center/predictive-journalism-artificial-intelligence-ethics.php …
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