The biggest issue with @zeynep's argument is that every point she makes against forecasting could be directed at polling itself.
And she sort of says at much at the end by saying that she hoped forecasting would transcend the horse race, but instead amplifies it. 2/5
Almost nobody else seems to need it, and many countries manage to have high turnout. It's weird, some people are voting weeks and weeks before the election day--before the debates, before all the news etc.
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One thing I learned working on election security was that US elections are (at least) an order of magnitude more complicated to administer than basically any other country. More levels of government, more kinds of races, just a full-body suffusion of voting in this country.
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I am sure there are counter-examples out there, and I don't mean to diminish any other country's system. We do clearly have a turnout problem in the US. We need to attack it from all angles: redistricting, RCV, early voting, automatic registration, etc. Not just organizing.
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