Another article making the rounds complaining about pandemic "epistemic trespassing", unironically quoting a medical expert who has adamantly & baselessly claimed masks would induce false sense of security—to great harm. For "trust the experts" to work, experts need to deliver.
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(All that against significant background community transmission, way beyond what test-and-trace can cope with...)
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There was still a widespread popular perception that Europe was handling this well, until it...wasn't. I think it's important to examine why it isn't now and adjust our priors about how to handle things. Hopefully places like Japan will continue to do well and be a useful model.
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These things look like mistakes after cases rise. For example SK has also had night clubs and bars open (they've asked for voluntary closures for Halloween weekend, I think). And the numbers show they aren't catching a large fraction of their cases through tracing.
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Yes but. They are focusing on clusters much more effectively, and had gotten background transmission much lower before opening up, unlike Europe. (And they are not using "exposure notification" but aggressive and often venue-based tracing).
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