I actually disagree! 2020 has so many weirdo hiccups that I don't know what to make of the models. Yes, of course, we will win the last war. We always do. So did 2016.
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Not saying it's a "solid clue" and I don't have investment in the election betting markets, but there's this from today,https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-say-theyre-fired-up-to-vote-especially-democrats/ …
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