TIL that if I say presidential election models are less useful than widely-assumed, many assume I don’t understand probability models and start explaining weather forecasts to me! No, that’s the point. They’re different in usefulness despite superficial/methodological similarity.
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Thanks. That makes much more sense and I think I agree (although we do have lots and lots of races to assess, if not lots of presidential ones). I appreciate the response and look forward to the longer-form piece if ever there is one.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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