Basically, to control the virus early would have required a full shutdown of China travel earlier than the partial shutdown, and a shutdown of European travel when we did the partial China one:https://www.wsj.com/graphics/when-did-covid-hit-earliest-death/?mod=hp_lead_pos5 …
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New Zealand had 277+ separate introductions that we know of. South Korea had one of the world's worst outbreaks very early. Yes, a few countries got lucky early on, but even the ones that got unlucky had varied response, and there were right answers.
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No one is arguing that there weren't. We are asking whether Donald Trump failed in some way peculiar to him, or in some way that was pretty common among large countries with a lot of introductions. The answer Ross and I come to is "Not obviously worse in Spring, bad in summer."
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@DouthatNYT has been on a mission to prove that Trump’s failure has been not as catastrophic as it is made out to be. We should test such perceptions with data but so far he comes across as someone who starts with an answer and tries to use the data to fit the answer. Not cool!Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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