This frightening outbreak highlights one of the most important challenges for the cheap, rapid testing approach that @michaelmina_lab and others have proposed: creating a false sense of security that causes people to violate other guidelines, putting themselves and others at risk
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Replying to @BrendanNyhan @michaelmina_lab
I disagree. Only if you misunderstand what those tests are for! And go against every possible sensible precaution. Plus, even with all their incomprehensible behavior, lots and lots of tests is the only reason this cluster isn’t out there sparking more.
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I mean, in one sense there is no method that wouldn’t be a challenge with people this determine to create a catastrophic situation. Most normal people can be empowered with knowledge.
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Replying to @zeynep @michaelmina_lab
lots and lots of human beings act like this! the Notre Dame president isn't "determine[d] to create a catastrophic situation," etc. surely we can acknowledge the risk here while also saying the White House was wildly irresponsible - both can be true!
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You cannot draw any conclusions about how ordinary people would respond to a rapid-testing regime from the way this group of people has responded. These ppl were emotionally and ideologically invested in the idea that the virus was a trivial matter.
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so are millions of Americans who listen to those people
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Maybe not any more.
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we'll see
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I think the real point is that anyone who listens to and believes Trump or Berenson about the virus isn’t taking precautions anyway. So it’s very unlikely that widespread rapid testing will make those people more reckless than they already are.
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Yeah, denial and risk-compensation are different mechanisms...
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