For someone who is open-minded but skeptical that a significant fraction of COVID transmission is happening across large distances (distance is not protective indoors, etc), what is the best epidemiological evidence to make a convincing quantitative case for this? @zeynep, etc.
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Is it also possible that when transmission is via aerosols, very small particles, the viral load is small and hence the infection is milder? Are there studies looking at infection severity after long distance transmission?
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Yes I agree with this and that in terms of absolute numbers there are many exceptions to distance protection. But it is not clear to me we have data arguing against 95-99% of overall transmission being from 1-on-1 interactions.
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I have a little trouble imagining how super spreader events occur without aerosol transmission. I suppose it’s possible that a single infected person has 1-on-1 contact with multiple individuals at such events but equally likely they don’t.
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