The why of superspreading isn't fully settled. I do have more about it in my article on the importance of ventilation from July. Crowded, poorly-ventilated indoors is a common factor, though individual variation is also plausible. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/why-arent-we-talking-more-about-airborne-transmission/614737/ …https://twitter.com/christateston/status/1311653698490294272 …
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I'm getting many questions on superspreading. My July article on ventilation has details on what we know of the science, but there *is* a tl;dr: Let's focus on Japan's 3C: avoid closed (indoor) spaces with crowds, especially at close range and/or unmasked. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/why-arent-we-talking-more-about-airborne-transmission/614737/ …pic.twitter.com/zylUPsnv4N
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Much gratitude to
@svscarpino,@AdamJKucharski,@mugecevik,@dylanhmorris &@nataliexdean who are quoted and to many others whose papers I read, and to Dr. Hitoshi Oshitani who patiently answers my Japan questions and to@miekocakes who has been a tireless translator & bridge!4 replies 8 retweets 140 likesShow this thread -
Also, my sense from years of writing on the messy, complicated topic of technology and society, and now about the pandemic science/sociology intersection: There is a real demand for factual, dense and long pieces that don't simplify or cut corners, but do try to stay readable.
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It's not that I or anyone else can get everything right all the time (nobody can; anyone thinking out loud on complex topics will miss things or get things wrong) but that we can and we should try to dive into it all, with all the complexity, and treat the public as partners.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Chip Uni
Yes! As I explain in my piece, the polarization around Sweden is not useful because Sweden is a middling country—not that lax but also not great. It's not an example of success OR failure of herd immunity or lockdowns. Japan, though, is *very* interesting.https://twitter.com/chip_uni/status/1311727369086922757 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Chip Uni @chip_uniAn article in The Atlantic by@zeynep changed how I think about COVID-19. The disease is likely spread by fewer, super-spreading events, and Japan might have had the optimal response to the disease. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/?utm_source=pocket-newtab …10 replies 63 retweets 274 likesShow this thread -
As explained in my overdispersion piece, if there are two transmission events (both the President and the First Lady) there are likely more. Also see my earlier piece about airborne transmission: indoors, six feet isn't enough and the *talker* can infect. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/why-arent-we-talking-more-about-airborne-transmission/614737/ …pic.twitter.com/AaodjKT7RO
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted The New York Times
This pathogen can be surprisingly non-contagious most of the time... But when it strikes, it's often in clusters. So they may well have a cluster on their hands.https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1312024557356806145 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Jon Levy
The cost of not following the science. The CDC still has not (re)posted updated airborne transmission guidelines, and WHO still has not updated their documents for the public. DISTANCE IS NOT PROTECTIVE ENOUGH INDOORS. Ventilate, filter, mask up.https://twitter.com/jonlevyBU/status/1311976244553101313 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Jon Levy @jonlevyBUI pray that the debate “health and safety protocols” included ventilation and filtration, even though they were not listed by the Cleveland Clinic. I don’t know who was positive when, but unmasked yelling in a poorly ventilated space is a high risk situation. pic.twitter.com/SD7iyhTah24 replies 151 retweets 419 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @zeynep
Can I ask you about something? I work in retail. Lots of staff are maskless when they are setting up in the morning, and put them on when the doors open to customers. Is that safe for customers (if there is not much ventilation?)
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
The staff are risking each other and whatever else, they should mask up around each other. Customers spend less time in a store; your staff should protect themselves and each other better.
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