Much gratitude to @svscarpino, @AdamJKucharski, @mugecevik, @dylanhmorris & @nataliexdean who are quoted and to many others whose papers I read, and to Dr. Hitoshi Oshitani who patiently answers my Japan questions and to @miekocakes who has been a tireless translator & bridge!
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Indoors. Unmasked. Talking.https://twitter.com/SenMikeLee/status/1311064032300929038 …
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Cluster looking more and more likely.https://twitter.com/jackmjenkins/status/1312068942157025280 …
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Cluster. K. Overdispersion. Airborne. Backward tracing. (Words and concepts we need the talk more about.)https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/1312079653486632961 …
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Yes, finally! For details on why this is important, see my article on aerosol/airborne transmission. https://amp.theatlantic.com/amp/article/614737/ …https://twitter.com/DemFromCT/status/1312131078157524992 …
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Cluster. It was bound to happen.https://twitter.com/costareports/status/1312085226370334720 …
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A superspreading event. They have to trace this back asap.https://twitter.com/KellyannePolls/status/1312214949658152960 …
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There was an indoor component to the event. But we definitely need more information. More in the cluster.https://twitter.com/HowardKurtz/status/1312200574067068930 …
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One more senator. This is how a cluster works, and these people are tested heavily. Imagine this cluster without access to testing, igniting more clusters. That’s the catastrophic process my article has been trying to explain, and the one we should gear up to avoid.https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1312378700818722822 …
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If UK was late to notice because they ran out of columns in EXCEL, this is an indescribable failure. Excel screw-ups are known & numerous. No researcher should rely on Excel. Plus, with overdispersion, late is catastrophic because clusters ignite clusters.https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1313046638915706880 …
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So the White House is not doing backward contact tracing—as they should—to figure out how the cluster started? They’ll miss cases.https://twitter.com/joshmich/status/1313297693054316546 …
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So is this part of the White House cluster? Probably so, right?https://twitter.com/KFaulders/status/1313522445731745792 …
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Anyone proposing Sweden as a contrarian example has *no idea* what they're talking about. Sweden had a more strict & early indoor gathering limit than most of Europe, never lifted it when others did & everyone 16+ is in virtual school. Japan! Try Japan! https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/ …pic.twitter.com/rguHxKsJXo
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March: Bartender infected as Austrian ski resort. Medical authorities: "A transmission of the virus onto the guests of the bar is, from a medical point of view, rather unlikely." Reality:~6000 infections in 45 countries. (March in Japan: hunting clusters.)https://www.france24.com/en/20201009-documents-suggest-virus-was-downplayed-at-austria-resort …
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Canada allows indoor spin class with lower capacity, six-foot radius around bikes and sanitation. So panting crowd indoors but, hey, on clean bikes! Go ahead, require throwing salt over one's shoulder and hang a
. Index patient had no symptoms: 51 cases. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2020/10/13/patient-zero-displayed-no-symptoms-hamiltons-spinco-superspreader-outbreak-reaches-51-cases.html …pic.twitter.com/FN0PItiKzk
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Ah, even better. You don't have to wear your mask in gyms in Canada when it *actually* counts the most. Brilliant. Look, folks, I'll say it straight out. United States and most of Europe have lost sight of the science of this pandemic. Inexcusable.https://twitter.com/benjamintdube/status/1316027523432542208 …
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Yep. I have a CO2/VOC monitor I've been using to see how things are. Places are *drowning* in bleach etc. The people doing the cleaning—low-paid women—are breathing in enormous amounts of harmful stuff unnecessarily, and then we are (I measure it).https://twitter.com/akm5376/status/1316027790160928771 …
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Movie theaters (silent patrons wearing masks) are almost certainly much safer than spin classes indoors with unmasked panting exercisers, even with the "sanitation" and "reduced capacity" and "six feet between bikes" blah blah nonsense.https://twitter.com/BAmontanada/status/1316029238001037315 …
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March, 2020: "Let's wear masks for a respiratory disease". "NOOO, they are harmful." Evidence? *crickets* October, 2020: "Let's drown everything in bleach and disinfectants!" Wait, there's tons of evidence this isn't that safe or necessary. *crickets* https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2753247 …pic.twitter.com/7imhfQSyI7
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"If they were following guidelines, how did the outbreak happen?" "This remains unclear." Maybe something wrong with guidelines that allow "distanced" people panting indoors on very very very clean bikes? Seems mostly young people but won't always be. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2020/10/15/how-were-so-many-infected-everything-you-need-to-know-about-hamiltons-spinco-outbreak.html …pic.twitter.com/5qBwVxEm8k
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