This is making the usual misinformation rounds. But it's not Tokyo. It's not a random serosurvey. It's a few locations in a single company. One cluster could explain it all. If this were true for Tokyo, it could & should be replicated quickly. But misinformation thrives on speed. https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1308798932097658881 …
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Replying to @zeynep
argh Berenson again I see....one of the key disinformation merchants of this whole cycle
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Replying to @RukhnamaLives @zeynep
Is he the one working for Steve Bannon?
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Replying to @penny_candy__ @zeynep
i don't think so---he was a just-the-flu type early on, anti-lockdown, etc. All disinformation
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"Participants were sampled from multiple disparate locations across Tokyo; they had limited physical interactions with each other given the organizational structure of the company – limiting the role of clustering; were well-distributed across age and gender."
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If one location had a cluster and maybe interacted with one more location, you'd get all these results. It's striking that they don't release the distribution of locations, nor do they reference the previous serosurveys. Nonetheless; extraordinary claims require replication.
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When evaluating a scientific claim, the questions to ask aren't to make excuses for obvious methodological questions and pitfalls, but to say wait, what's going on? And then look at all the studies in this space. And then ask for replication. Berenson? He's not into that.
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I see he has a Bachelor's in History and Economics according to Wiki. Not impressed.
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