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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Adam Kucharski‏Verified account @AdamJKucharski 24 Sep 2020

      This study is getting some attention, but results look odd – if group developed antibodies during 2nd outbreak, would expect increase in seroprevalence to occur near the August peak, rather than a few weeks beforehand (during period with few cases)... https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198796v1 … 1/pic.twitter.com/38IWclb1n0

      5 replies 26 retweets 65 likes
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    2. Adam Kucharski‏Verified account @AdamJKucharski 24 Sep 2020

      Looks to me like a sporadic workplace cluster, rather than being representative of wider outbreak dynamics in the population. 2/2

      6 replies 13 retweets 56 likes
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      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 24 Sep 2020
      Replying to @AdamJKucharski

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci

      The numbers don't make total sense to me (Japanese government did have a random serosurvey in summer!) and the most parsimonious explanation is a cluster at the workplace, imho. That said, if true, it should be easy to replicate quickly.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1308859839540494342 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynep
      Replying to @dwallacewells
      Interesting but, it's one company in multiple locations, not Tokyo. A single cluster could account for the whole result. We know some places have high prevalence but to get there within one month with zero outward sign? Need details, and an actual random(ish) study.
      5:48 AM - 24 Sep 2020
      • 5 Likes
      • alex rubinsteyn Campion1581 Wes Pegden Alasdair Munro Adam Kucharski
      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 24 Sep 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @AdamJKucharski

          I'm a bit wary because the authors don't cite the previous random serosurveys in summer conducted in Tokyo and in Osaka by Japan's Ministry of Health (seems important to note a previous *actual* random survey?) and hope reporters wait for replication before rushing to headlines.

          2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
        3. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 24 Sep 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @AdamJKucharski

          I can't believe the number of conclusions people draw from serosurveys from non-random samples Seen several examples recently, with actual epidemiologists comparing children of healthcare workers (mainly in London) to national adult seroprevalence pointing to them being similar

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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