According to this preprint, Tokyo reached an est. 46.8% seroprevalence this summer. The city has had a total of 391 deaths from COVID-19. This would suggest an infinitesimal fatality rate—twice the spread of New York and a tiny fraction of its IFR. (1/2)https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198796v1 …
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Agree about the shortcomings, and would add the sample size is relatively small.
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Possibly the widespread mask-wearing led to a variolation effect? Or just a cluster as
@zeynep says - Show replies
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If you look at the numbers, at a time that *all* of Japan was finding a few hundred cases total, they are claiming about a thousand total cases (for that month) in that company, with hundreds per week. I mean, that's a huge huge claim. Okay, maybe but really need details, repeat.
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