Yes but... the errors are correlated. There was a lot of analysis like this about Clinton, too, in 2016 (not saying the setup is the same) and.. Yeah, the errors are correlated. If PA moves to Trump, so will many other things and it is no longer narrow.
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They don't need to be correlated with the polling order only with one another. So, for example, if 2% of all voters in all states are shy then the snake slides in unison. In that scenario, we have perfect correlation across states but zero correlation with the current ordering
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The snake is ordered by polling margin. That's why it may not move one state at a time as ordered.
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