The only thing we can think of how my husband got the virus was being unmasked at a park and a jogger running close to him. So please stop with this nonscientific stuff. Masks outside are as important around other people as inside. The protesters wore masks.
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I'm saying this because I think communicating a realistic relative risk assessment can help us highlight overlooked issues (people should mask up indoors at all times, even if they can distance) while recognizing outdoors is, indeed, different. More here:https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/why-arent-we-talking-more-about-airborne-transmission/614737/ …
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zeynep, how do you feel about outdoor sports that involve lots of person-on-person defensive coverage and incidental contact (e.g. soccer, basketball, ultimate)?
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No go in this environment if there is close-contact or panting in each other's face for any length of time! (Jogger passing by would have aerosols in the slipstream; they'd quickly get diluted and it would barely last a second. Still, joggers should not get too close. Impolite).
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Yes, we know about asymptomatic transmission for sure, and the viral load data is mixed. That said, there is genuinely six months a literature and a lot of science behind the idea outdoors is different, and duration (passing by) and place (outdoors, UV deactivation) does matter.
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You’re failing to distinguish between a low-likelihood vs zero-likelihood event. Of millions of transient close outdoor interactions between infected people and non-infected people every week, do we have data to suggest that no significant % result in infection? We do not.
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