A really important thread on that South Korea/kids study that got widespread coverage that, in my view, was not warranted because even without extra info, its statistics were internally weird plus findings not in line with previous research. Plus ages were inappropriately binned.https://twitter.com/apsmunro/status/1292852036720091136 …
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I am not *at all* claiming kids are/aren't transmitting; but coverage in this area has been too-rushed, too-dependent on single studies that do not get same attention when corrected. Also, a lot of conflation between symptomatic kids (rarer) versus all kids (the big question).
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Sometimes, just like the fake Lancet surgisphere "global" study, the numbers don't quite add up even internally, and there's something weird going on. What? We don't immediately know. Maybe minor. Maybe not. Often, this is pointed out in real time, but ignored. Have to slow down.
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Unfortunately, that SK story got so widespread coverage that I'm aware of parents ready to keep their 10-year old under literal house arrest for the next year, simply because of that. This is extremely damaging to children, especially since the 10-19 age group wasn't informative.
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Parents are rightfully spooked. It's scary! High-profile reporting of single studies, especially when so many questions about it are raised immediately, doesn't help. We need preponderance of evidence and that means slowing down and reporting on the *accumulation* of studies.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted
I understand this but the study, as is, wasn't informative for the 10-19 age group, especially not as a whole, and especially for the younger end of the spectrum—but maybe none at all. Unclear. Decisions should not be driven by single studies like this. https://twitter.com/BaYouCanCallMe/status/1293154647436333057 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Gag Halfrunt ✍️ 🩸 🦷 🌊
We may sadly be doing both; some places recklessly opening up without plans or protections while we're also needlessly spooking parents into extreme measures. I see both a lot. I'm advocating for: preponderance of studies and resources/plans based on that.https://twitter.com/dmjossel/status/1293155091357237259 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Replying to @zeynep
The problem is, decisions on kids and schools are being made, and have to be made, now, while that preponderance of studies takes time to develop. People have to decide what to do given that we don't understand well the extent to which kids spread. My view - caution is warranted.
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Replying to @bXLpedestrian @zeynep
Your concern that people are overreacting to individual studies showing kids spread well is fair, but there is also a huge amount of the opposite going on. Schools are reopening in many places with little or no no precautionary measures, based on similarly questionable findings.
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I completely agree; the opposite of trying to act on the preponderance of studies isn't recklessness.
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