Between the failure to create effective test and trace infrastructure and opening plans, or deliver clear messaging, or get a second relief bill together, it becomes increasingly clear that trying to stop daily life is the only tool those in power really care to use.
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"social connectivity is 56% of normal" - 56% of NYC can be %300 of a town in Idaho. Why do we still pretend that innate social connectivity is irrelevant?https://twitter.com/covidtweets/status/1277276132988145664 …
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We don't have randomized sero data because we ain't got a functioning
@cdc anymore! You know that already thoughThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Assuming static homogeneous case argument seem plausible. If we have dynamic shift of underlying population, like exodus from NY earlier, I am not sure how this will play out. 'Random' serosurvey may be biased though. People who agree to it may already be inclined to mask...
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No one will even do data testing. The biggest opportunity in the world & no one is taking advantage of how much we could learn.
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so right. this could have been an amazing dataset but now it's so dirty and inconsistent hard to know how much nuance is even present. I barely trust the biggest aggregates.
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Fascinating thread as is one by
@DiseaseEcology. Gotta say though that I wish we had another word besides “immunity” - something like “resistance” maybe. I fear that many will see “immunity” & assume it means more than it does in this context. https://twitter.com/diseaseecology/status/1291907438245863424?s=21 …https://twitter.com/DiseaseEcology/status/1291907438245863424 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Properly randomized and longitudinal serosurveys would be hugely helpful. Especially for age groups. And yes, didn't expect it to be so controversial to say that with 10% immunity and strong NPIs dropping Rt we expect some effect of immunity in reducing spread.
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I don’t think you realize how people have been prepped since March to say that immunity has no effect. The “herd immunity is impossible” campaign has been wildly successful to the point that most people I know don’t believe immunity matters at all - only NPIs (or lack thereof)
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