This seems...pretty thin, TBH. Provides no evidence tying new cases to rally. Timing is consistent, but correlation is not causation. Tracing data could clarify, but they're not making findings public. Prefer to see firmer facts before concluding this. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/08/us/politics/coronavirus-tulsa-trump-rally.html …
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(That said, it was still recklessly irresponsible to hold an indoor and mostly un-masked rally at a time when transmission was increasing)
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Replying to @JeremyKonyndyk
The way required evidence shifts depending on sympathy is so frustrating. Masks? Evidence required goes up. Where is the RCT? Claims of false sense of security? Evidence level none. Made without citations. Trump rally? We have a hunch. How is anyone supposed to make sense of it?
6:29 AM - 10 Jul 2020
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