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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Jul 2020

    zeynep tufekci Retweeted ChristosArgyropoulos MD, PhD FlozinatorInChief

    Yes. Case numbers are not comparable with past; time series mean very little. Don't look at cases. Numbers to watch are deaths, ICU beds, severity, age-stratification, etc. Cases aren't a good indicator of trends. We have better treatments, too, so no apples-to-apples comparison.https://twitter.com/ChristosArgyrop/status/1280476612195057665 …

    zeynep tufekci added,

    ChristosArgyropoulos MD, PhD FlozinatorInChief @ChristosArgyrop
    1. #SARSCoV2 testing capacity is larger now 2. Criteria for testing have relaxed even more than testing capacity 3. We have no idea why people show up to be tested 4. Only meaningful stat now is resource use utilization and death rates which lag behind by 2-4 weeks #COVID19
    Show this thread
    10:39 AM - 7 Jul 2020
    • 48 Retweets
    • 154 Likes
    • Sam Mather jo Robin Rosemary McNaughton Helianthus 🌽🌻🌱 𝘿𝙖𝙢𝙞𝙖𝙣 𝙅𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙨 𝙃𝙪𝙨𝙨𝙚𝙮 crust with no pizza nestedlogit charlottekupsh
    7 replies 48 retweets 154 likes
      1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Jul 2020

        The map is not the territory, especially when the way we draw the map has changed so drastically. I don't think it's possible to say that much about what cases mean now compared to the past. What part of the iceberg where we measuring then and are we measuring now? Unclear.

        1 reply 6 retweets 55 likes
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      1. revjimbo‏ @jbonewald 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Where is the best source of that information. Lots of sites just seem to track cases, tests, and recoveries.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. mcbc  🇺🇸 🗽‏ @mcbc 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        That's fair that was a big help Mar-Jun in NYC but there's increasingly bad transparency at these resource constraints hence why there is a reliance on cases. Fix the reporting and we can get smarter about the analysis.

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      1. Jordie Welles‏ @Jordiew 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Jordie Welles Retweeted Dr Ellie Murray, ScD

        Here is an important thread on LEAD TIME BIAS written by an epidemiologist.https://twitter.com/EpiEllie/status/1280305393516904448?s=20 …

        Jordie Welles added,

        Dr Ellie Murray, ScDVerified account @EpiEllie
        THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST: why are COVID deaths *still* not going up 3 weeks after case counts started increasing? There are many possible explanations, but one I haven’t seen mentioned is the impact of widespread testing on *early detection*. A #tweetorial on LEAD TIME BIAS.
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Oscar Moll‏ @omoll 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        So, has there actually been a substantial improvement in treatment? It would be nice to see some breakdown of the improvements and their effect if there have been.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Oscar Moll‏ @omoll 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @omoll @zeynep

        #AskingForAFriend

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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