If we truly get no noticeable spike from the protests, it's a signal for the future: move things as much as possible to outdoors and non-confined formats. Walk together to socialize. Outdoors, masked church. They had outdoor hospitals during the 1918 pandemic for this reason.
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With all the rise in hospitalization in southern states, I wish we had proper tracking so we could measure whether 90+ temperatures are contributing to the rise as people move indoors into air-conditioned spaces. Seasonality may exist, but not if we respond with climate control!
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Nonetheless, protesters should *really* try to avoid interacting especially in closed range/indoors spaces with vulnerable populations for about two weeks. Home transmission has been a big thing in every outbreak, and young people may not notice what little symptoms they have.
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I wonder if there will be a spike, but mostly among the police forces.
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Confederacy-loving Confederacy of Dunces running things.
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Issue with protests is police response. Tear gas, herding people into confined spaces, sudden unannounced curfews, arrests will all cause spikes. Contrast that with the reaction to armed unmasked white reopen protesters who weren't social distancing and were inside.
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Michael Osterholm on Fresh Air two nights ago with the same conclusions - no uptick yet. Hopeful.
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Please stop using “spike”. A spike is shaped like one. A sharp rise and immediate decline. This term is being used interchangeably with “increase” and it needs to stop or a true spike will become meaningless.
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Is it possible that the most careful protesters will seek testing first? Or the number of tests is big enough to conclude one way or another?.
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