From SAGE papers released today: every single school re-opening scenario that SAGE modelled shows R rising above 1. The government decided to re-open schools on June 1pic.twitter.com/1rNyqPho3G
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But these assume no other contacts outside home which simply isn’t the U.K. People are having parties and going out. And we have no trace and test or ppe in schools. I was at work today in a school and truly can say that further opening is risky
Parties and going out by adults--very different question than schools. Should schools be open in the UK? I've no opinion on something as complex as that. Are there schools open in many other countries without spikes or outbreaks? Yes. But, my point was on what the model included.
i assume you mean "R remaining below 1"
As long as children are no more than about 40% infectious... and there is not yet good enough evidence that this is the case, also discussed in the report.
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