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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 20 May 2020

      Marc Lipsitch Retweeted Health Nerd

      It's getting increasingly hard to take John Ioannidis's "let's keep to the science" line seriously. My postdoc advisor Bruce Levin said "What distinguishes science from the rest of academia is that in science, you can't predict the conclusion from the name of the author."https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1262956011872280577 …

      Marc Lipsitch added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Today, this new preprint from John Ioannidis (of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame) went online Already up to Altmetric of 541 Let's do a rapid peer-review on twitter 1/n pic.twitter.com/aNth3I59Xa
      Show this thread
      31 replies 198 retweets 934 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 20 May 2020

      I don't actually agree with that as a literal statement (and offered a "proof" of why it's wrong 10y ago at Bruce's 70th birthday. But it gets at a deep truth that serious scientists keep seeking evidence that they are wrong so they can get righter.

      2 replies 13 retweets 166 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 20 May 2020

      This is quite a run of papers saying "see, my priors were right" from Dr. Ioannidis. Punctuated with occasional appearances in front of such truth-seeking bodies as Laura Ingraham's show and the Arizona House of Representatives.

      1 reply 10 retweets 152 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Marc Lipsitch‏Verified account @mlipsitch 20 May 2020

      Particularly because if the IFR is in the middle of his claimed range (0.2%), which it very likely isn't, and if the proportion at risk of getting infected is 5-10x seasonal flu, then the policy conclusion is we need to prevent crashing health systems.

      9 replies 16 retweets 133 likes
      Show this thread
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 20 May 2020
      Replying to @mlipsitch

      How is that a number within bounds with NYC deaths what they already are?

      7:47 PM - 20 May 2020
      • 9 Likes
      • Daniel Haran sys Some Guy TBashII Karl DEFEND DEMOCRACY Bunday 🗽 Marc Lipsitch Margherita Debatably Blonde
      2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jacob Franek (Hiring for DAOs)‏ @panekkkk 20 May 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @mlipsitch

          IFR is clearly much higher in areas like NYC & Lombardy. They appear to be outliers for reasons yet unclear (density of care homes, age distribution, public transportation, nosocomial transmission?). Seems possible that IFR outside of high risk hotspots could be 0.1 - 0.6%.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. TBashII‏ @RukhnamaLives 20 May 2020
          Replying to @panekkkk @zeynep @mlipsitch

          The *entire states* of NY, NJ, CT, and soon MA will have lost more than 0.1% of their entire populations to this thing by next week.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Some Guy‏ @someguymg 20 May 2020
          Replying to @zeynep @mlipsitch

          Strikes me as odd that the low IFR crew isn’t trying to explain why PFR of NYC > than their IFR estimate. It’s just a hand wave of “demographics/health”. If they are somehow right, they’re burying the lede! If CA is an OoM less fatal, that’s the most important current story!

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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