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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 May 2020

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Henrik Salje

      Today both France and Spain (two badly hit countries) have come out with seroprevalence numbers. (France is a model, paper linked below. Spain was representative sample/survey of 60K; I don't have the paper yet). Both are ~5 percent. If that holds up, that is very very bad news.https://twitter.com/hsalje/status/1260606369805320195 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Henrik Salje @hsalje
      Despite 20,000+ COVID19 deaths, we find only ~5% of France infected. The lockdown, eased on Monday, reduced transmission by 80%, however R still close to 1 (~0.7) with 3-6k daily infections, leaving little room for post-lockdown increases @ScienceMagazine https://bit.ly/2zzLKJX  pic.twitter.com/IaeVeHYiDn
      103 replies 1,449 retweets 2,361 likes
      Show this thread
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 May 2020

      One hopeful scenario had been there is a lot of asymptomatic transmission we are not noticing. Maybe. But if some of the worst hit countries are still composed of almost completely immunologically naive populations, that's a different challenge. Quite confusing, to be honest.

      14 replies 78 retweets 376 likes
      Show this thread
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 May 2020

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Olivier Bouchard

      Clarification re: my Sweden seroprevalence question. Lancet article said 25 percent for Stockholm. The question re:Spain and France only at 5 percent remains, though. If that's the real seroprevalence, big death toll despite (relatively) limited spread.https://twitter.com/oli_bou/status/1260644675083358208 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Olivier Bouchard @oli_bou
      Replying to @zeynep
      Unless I'm mistaken, Sweden claimed 20-25% in Stockholm, not in the country at large.
      10 replies 40 retweets 177 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Karl-Heinz Remmers‏ @phdsun 13 May 2020
      Replying to @zeynep

      Do you really believe the swedish numbers for Stockholm? Tegnell and his crew have their own agenda. Our German "Heinsberg- Outbreak" Study found 1,2- 6% of all germans "maybe" already infected. Austrian studys say maximum 5% of all.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 May 2020
      Replying to @phdsun

      Does not square with much of anything else, indeed. Geneva was also about 5 percent but that was a while back.

      12:13 PM - 13 May 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Karl-Heinz Remmers‏ @phdsun 13 May 2020
          Replying to @zeynep

          That`s the reason why I don`t trust the swedish numbers for stockholm.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Roman de Renart‏ @howisthewater 13 May 2020
          Replying to @phdsun @zeynep

          It seems the smaller the study as far as testing is concerned the higher potential range predicted. This points to problems with earlier studies.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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