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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 12 May 2020

    zeynep tufekci Retweeted McDeere

    I almost wish folks would stop looking at the curves and stop discussing the peaks. Not that they aren't useful for the (limited) thing they do portray well, but they don't assess risk. The risk in the US is way UP compared to beginning despite some curves (finally) going down.https://twitter.com/McDeereUSA/status/1259881169686007810 …

    zeynep tufekci added,

    McDeere @McDeereUSA
    Something tells me a lot of folks think the curve bending downward means it's less likely you'll get infected if you go out than before shutdown began. It's orders of magnitude *more* likely! pic.twitter.com/GSbi8ZKnuR
    Show this thread
    7:23 AM - 12 May 2020
    • 71 Retweets
    • 143 Likes
    • arckmarciano Jitters/Mudkip Brian Orce Matt Liddy 📱💬 Adrien Jeffereys Life Is Good!😎 Paul Shin Space Pirate Karl Rohe
    5 replies 71 retweets 143 likes
      1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 12 May 2020

        zeynep tufekci Retweeted  🔥 Kareem Carr  🔥

        Yep, stop looking for comfort in the second-order derivative. Forget the visual (they can overwhelm interpretation). Think about this: have your own odds of running into someone infected gone up or not? The more cases around, the more chances of infection.https://twitter.com/kareem_carr/status/1259990355149230080 …

        zeynep tufekci added,

         🔥 Kareem Carr  🔥 @kareem_carr
        PSA ⚠️: If the rate of increase of a bad thing is decreasing, it usually still means the bad thing is getting worse.
        4 replies 23 retweets 61 likes
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      2. Onnik J. Krikorian‏Verified account @onewmphoto 12 May 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Was going to tweet yesterday about this obsession almost solely with data and graphs. Another buzz thing, data journalism ’n all that. Yes, data’s important and I've been using it in articles since 2000, but deep domain knowledge and observation necessary to make sense of it all.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 12 May 2020
        Replying to @onewmphoto

        It's not being interpreted correctly.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. Boosted Kraken  💉 💉 💉‏ @twidark1 12 May 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Especially because if you remove NY, the curve for the rest of the nation is still going up. And unlike the early days of the epidemic where the virus was mostly concentrated in a small number of metro areas, it is all over the USA now.

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. Adrien Jeffereys‏ @AdrienJeffereys 12 May 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        Spot on. Well said. Only two numbers say something-how well a country is responding- The number of recovered compared to the number of active cases.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Mark Gubrud‏ @mgubrud 13 May 2020
        Replying to @zeynep

        The average individual risk of becoming infected, per day, in any locality, is by definition the local per capita daily new infection rate. If confirmed new cases are a constant fraction of all new infections, they are a good indicator of how dangerous it is to go out.

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